Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.238796 0.254451 0.270932 0.289629 0.310321 0.332595 0.358489
2025-02-16 0.198791 0.221054 0.246065 0.276513 0.312948 0.355634 0.410164
2025-02-23 0.175044 0.200928 0.231480 0.270806 0.321008 0.384310 0.472513
2025-03-02 0.157524 0.185197 0.219117 0.264745 0.326160 0.408619 0.532849
2025-03-09 0.144868 0.173644 0.210023 0.260802 0.332356 0.433995 0.598791
2025-03-16 0.134807 0.164184 0.202293 0.257189 0.337707 0.458047 0.667163
2025-03-23 0.129196 0.159855 0.200664 0.261369 0.354210 0.500788 0.776193
2025-03-30 0.121881 0.152578 0.194231 0.257721 0.358028 0.523496 0.855358
2025-04-06 0.114157 0.144169 0.185490 0.249662 0.353647 0.531294 0.907342
2025-04-13 0.107355 0.136605 0.177385 0.241757 0.348433 0.536523 0.955198
2025-04-20 0.103994 0.133652 0.175696 0.243533 0.359443 0.573025 1.084321
2025-04-27 0.101787 0.132179 0.176022 0.248426 0.376305 0.623784 1.268683
2025-05-04 0.097956 0.128240 0.172529 0.247041 0.382221 0.654735 1.419451
2025-05-11 0.093907 0.123807 0.168064 0.243750 0.384405 0.678775 1.565518
2025-05-18 0.090460 0.120101 0.164502 0.241699 0.388741 0.708773 1.750543
2025-05-25 0.086827 0.115935 0.159968 0.237574 0.388465 0.728038 1.912476
2025-06-01 0.083718 0.112418 0.156258 0.234588 0.390107 0.752446 2.114454
2025-06-08 0.080850 0.109136 0.152735 0.231639 0.391430 0.776398 2.336957
2025-06-15 0.079509 0.108135 0.152839 0.235266 0.407153 0.842826 2.836732
2025-06-22 0.076962 0.105138 0.149482 0.232166 0.407690 0.866887 3.144120
2025-06-29 0.073859 0.101154 0.144301 0.225269 0.398923 0.861697 3.271216
2025-07-06 0.070948 0.097381 0.139327 0.218484 0.389799 0.853923 3.380808
2025-07-13 0.069700 0.096206 0.138685 0.220011 0.400207 0.910100 4.052324